30 visions for a better world in 2030

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Single use plastics are a distant memory. When you buy stuff, you buy something that lasts. But because you buy a lot fewer things, you can actually afford better unique products. “Refuse, reuse, reduce, recycle” is the new way of looking at things. Because citizens have buying so much stuff, they have more money to spend on services: cleaning, gardening, laundry help, healthy meals easy to lớn cook, entertainment, experiences, fabulous new restaurants. All of which brings the average modern person more options & more không tính tiền time. Picking up the mantle against climate change may not be so bad after all.

Cutting violent crime in half

—Robert Muggah, Director of the Igarapé Institute, Brazil; thành viên of the Global Future Council on Cities và Urbanization

The world has an opportunity lớn dramatically reduce some of the most egregious forms of violence over the next decade. To bởi this, we will need the same kind of energy and dedication that was mobilized to lớn eradicate other killers lượt thích smallpox.

The first step lớn halving violence by 2030 is to have a clear sense of how it is distributed in time và space. Take the case of lethal violence. There is a misconception that more people die violently in war zones than in countries at peace. While total levels of violence oscillate from year to lớn year, it turns out that the reverse is true. The UN Office for Drugs and Crime estimates that the ratio is roughly 5:1. Put simply, many more people are dying violently as a result of organized và interpersonal crime in countries lượt thích Brazil, Colombia & Mexico than in internal conflicts in countries such as Afghanistan, Syria and Yemen. This is not lớn say that one type of lethal violence is more important than the other, but rather khổng lồ ensure a more fact-based diagnosis.

The only way lớn make a serious dent in violence is by acknowledging its full scope and scale together with the factors that drive it. This must be accompanied by sustained investment in reducing the risks & improving the protection of affected areas & populations, và investing in solutions with a positive track record. In the US, for example, research suggests that a focus on reducing lethal violence in the 40 cities with the highest rates of homicide could save more than 12,000 lives a year. In Latin America, reducing homicide in just the seven most violent countries over the next 10 years would save more than 365,000 lives.

Empowering 8 billion minds with thiết bị di động technology

—Murali Doraiswamy, Professor at Duke University, Global Future Council on Neurotechnologies

The year is 2030. Imagine this: a young man called Ajay lives in India. In his teens, he experienced an episode of depression. So when, as a new undergraduate, he was offered the chance to sign up for a mental healthcare service, he was keen to vì so.

Ajay chose a service that used mobile phone & internet technologies lớn enable him to carefully manage his personal information. Ajay would later develop clinical depression, but he spotted that something wasn’t right early on when the feedback from his mental healthcare tiện ích highlighted changes in his sociability (he was sending fewer messages & leaving his room only lớn go to lớn campus.)

Shortly thereafter, he received a message on his phone inviting him khổng lồ get in cảm ứng with a mental health therapist: the message also offered a choice of channels through which he could get in touch. Now in his mid-20s, Ajay’s depression is well under control. He has learned to lớn recognise when he’s too anxious and beginning to feel low, và he can practice the techniques he has learned using online tools, as well as easily accessing high-quality advice. His progress through the rare depressive episodes he still experiences is carefully tracked. If he does not respond to lớn the initial, self-care treatment, he can be quickly referred to lớn a medical professional. Ajay’s experience is replicated across the world in low, middle & high-income countries. Similar technology-supported mental illness prevention, prediction và treatment services are available to lớn all.

Clean air is a human right

—Jane Burston, Executive Director of the Clean Air Fund; thành viên of the Global Future Council on Energy

After a decade of interventions, of activists và policy-makers fighting side by side, clean air is recognized as a basic human right and cities like Delhi see blue skies throughout the year.

What changed from those dark days of 2020 khổng lồ today, is the early recognition of health impacts of air pollution by governments, which spurred kích hoạt around the globe.

The urgency of the situation was recognized by 2020 & governments in some of the most polluted geographies came together to cốt truyện knowledge and practice on how to lower emissions. Industries took the lead in looking at their own value chains, sectors like energy & transportation became leaders in cutting out carbon & other toxic pollutants from their factories. The steep decline of the fossil fuel industry by mid-century gave way khổng lồ technology & innovation in these traditionally carbon intensive sectors. Today emissions pricing has made pollution pricey – it is cheaper và more profitable lớn be cleaner.

We build a fair & democratic gig economy

—Mark Graham, Professor of mạng internet Geography, University of Oxford, thành viên of the Global Future Council on the New Education & Work Agenda

The real future of the gig economy that we should be looking to lớn is one characterised by democratic ownership.

There is no reason why gig workers shouldn’t be their own bosses. The platform cooperativism movement shines a light on some of the real potentials for worker owned- và managed-platforms for every possible service. We can also think about running platforms as civic utilities.

In many places, platforms are becoming utilities. Think for instance of Uber’s desire to lớn become an operating system for the city. Our cities will undoubtedly need operating systems. But we should ask ourselves if we want a privately managed operating system run by an unaccountable company based in another country. Or a locally-managed, locally-owned, democratic, & accountable one.

We aren’t going to lớn be able to lớn turn back the clock to a world with no platforms. But by looking to lớn strategies that involve transparency, accountability, worker power, & democratic ownership, we have in front of us the tools lớn move towards a less exploitative và more just platform economy. The platform economy in 2030 could be one in which consumers know more about their impacts, regulators are enforcing minimum standards, workers are exercising their collective power, & we have all found ways of building, supporting, & using democratically run và accountable platforms.

There"s a new platform for peace in the Middle East

—Dalia Dassa Kaye, Director of the Center for Middle East Public Policy, RAND; member of the Global Future Council on Geopolitics

After two decades of devastating wars in the Middle East, 2020 marked a turn-around leading khổng lồ the formation of a new regional security forum by 2030 supported by key global powers, including the United States, đài loan trung quốc and Russia. The forums did not replace traditional regional rivalries or over all conflict, but leading global & regional powers recognized the risks of growing instability và the value of a region-wide mechanism for conflict prevention và management.

Until 2030, the Middle East was the outlier in the world, being the only region lớn lack a diễn đàn for security dialogue. Regional alignments were largely based on the balance of power lô ghích with cooperation limited to lớn containing common external threats, most notably Iran. No venue existed where all regional parties could exchange threat perceptions and engage in confidence-building on areas of common concern. The short-lived Madrid process in the early 1990s had achieved some limited success but was too narrowly linked khổng lồ progress on Israeli-Palestinian peace, which sadly did not come khổng lồ pass.

Shifting regional alignments và a dangerous escalation led global powers khổng lồ see common interests in stabilizing the region through a multilateral forum. At the same time, regional leaders become more xuất hiện to alternatives that favored diplomacy over conflict, particularly as they faced difficult socioeconomic pressures at trang chủ to meet the demands of their rising youth populations. This confluence of global và regional interests provided an opening to launch a new cooperative security dialogue.

We create cities where you can walk to lớn everything you need

—Rob Adams, Director city Design and Projects, city of Melbourne, member of the Global Future Council on Cities và Urbanization

Politicians love big infrastructure projects, but vày we need them? Clearly new infrastructure for expanding cities is important, but maybe there is a more important question to ask: How well are we using our existing infrastructure?

In the 1980s, when the baby boomers arrived in large numbers at universities around the world, most campuses simply expanded at great expense. One key exception was Cape Town University. Unable to expand its footprint, the university asked the above question & was surprised khổng lồ find how little its infrastructure was being used. Lecture theatres, for example, were only being used for 17% of the available hours. Over the next 30 years, Cape Town University trebled its numbers on the campus without any major building programmes, simply by reprogramming its timetable. The result was a more vibrant campus và big savings in expenditure.

Much of the infrastructure in our cities is equally underused. Freeways are designed for peak hours; schools have one session per day, usually in the morning, leaving the afternoon and evening free; and the list goes on. A study entitled Transforming Australian Cities showed that if all future development was contained within existing metro boundaries, cities would save $110 billion in infrastructure costs over 50 years for every 1 million people added.

My vision for 2030 is a world where cities make better use of the infrastructure they have, before building new projects at huge financial and environmental cost. This would see people living in closer proximity with good access to lớn essential infrastructure such as public transport, social services & high chất lượng public spaces, as was the case in cities prior lớn the motor car & urban sprawl; cities, in other words, where walking is the dominant khung of transport and the street is the dominant location for public life.

Clean electricity will dominate the energy sector

—Chen Wei Nee, Chief Strategic Officer, Sustainable Energy Development Authority, Malaysia; member of the Global Future Council on Energy Technologies

If we get things right, by 2030 the global carbon concentration will drop to 350 parts per million from 407 parts today. By then, the energy sector will largely be electricity, và at least half of the electricity is from renewable resources. Deep de-carbonizing efforts will be demonstrated by governments và corporates, and yes, even the ordinary members of the public.

By 2030, electricity will also be democratized and people will be empowered with choices & they will choose energy sources that sustain life. Power generations will also shift from centralized structure lớn greater distributed renewable generations. The electricity system will be defined by further digitalization, enabling the concept of sharing economy in the energy space.

By 2030, trading of excess solar electricity with neighbours & sharing of electric vehicles within the community will be the way of living. Children will be taught to live in harmony with the environment. All these did not happen by chance. It happened because there was sufficient willpower khổng lồ deliberately shape the future of energy. It happened because the need to preserve the future of our children finally matters.

Virtual reality will protect our mental health

—Professor Helen Christensen, director & chief scientist at đen Dog Institute, Australia; thành viên of the Global Future Council on Media, Entertainment and Culture

I see a world where giải pháp công nghệ such as smartphones improve mental health & reduce suicide risk. Sensors in smartphones combined with AI will allow software khổng lồ create “buddies” that will assimilate mental health knowledge about each person, and then help them navigate safely day-to-day. This so-called ‘digital phenotyping’ uses both passively collected data, voice analysis, cognitive indicators & self-reporting from smartphones, & it will yield these prediction và monitoring capabilities within a decade.

I predict that people around the world will have continuous, immediate and effective access khổng lồ digital therapeutics for mental health. Tư vấn will be offered proactively & ‘just in time’. The clunky & rigid digital interventions we have today will be transformed into interactive games & experiences that deliver ‘therapeutic content’ enjoyably, by stealth, using technologies such as virtual reality.

I see people having access to mental health dashboards on their devices so that they can cốt truyện their data - which they own - when & how they wish. I see more research into how people relate và learn to live as ‘cyborgs’ from an early age. I see the potential of social networks to be used to reduce stigma và promote understanding.

The circular economy has become the economy

—Leanne Kemp, founder and CEO, Everledger; thành viên of the Global Future Council on Advanced Manufacturing & Production

Let me nội dung my vision for 2030. By then, nobody talks about the circular economy; it’s just the economy.

We wince at the grim days of the 2010s, when billions of tonnes of materials were extracted every year to meet the functional needs of society – but only a fraction was ever recycled back into our economies.

Rapidly falling technology costs created major opportunities to reduce waste. We focused on capturing more value from existing infrastructure và ‘designing out’ the impacts of pollution, climate change, toxins & congestion. We got our act together.

What was the one thing that made the biggest difference? Some will point to lớn the youth movement that drove awareness và campaigned for action. Others will champion the new breakthroughs in giải pháp công nghệ that were unthinkable in 2020. These played a part - but we would never have got here if the world’s lawmakers had stayed on the sidelines.

After all, it was the public sector & policymakers who could strongly influence industries và could steer outcomes at a system level. The private sector wasn’t allowed khổng lồ leave the public sector behind, either; the right rules were put in place to lớn ensure that jobs were preserved, & new ones created.

The middle class grows và inequality shrinks

—Carl Frey, Director, Future of Work, Oxford Martin School, University of Oxford

Streets are made for people not cars

—Marcela Guerrero Casas, Founder and Associate, open Streets Cape Town; member of the Global Future Council on Mobility

The future of transportation, as most of us imagine it, is dominated by driverless cars - but to lớn truly build a sustainable future for our cities, we need to lớn reduce the numbers of cars on the roads full-stop. This can be achieved through a fairly simple, practical và proven strategy: temporarily taking cars off our streets altogether.

In the mid-1970s, the Colombian capital Bogotá saw the birth of what would become a global movement called Ciclovia, often known as ‘open streets’ in English-speaking countries, which entails the creation of car-free routes throughout the city every Sunday & public holiday.

As well as improving public health, both by encouraging people to take exercise as well as reducing traffic pollution, Ciclovia fosters a sense of inclusion và ownership of their city among its participants. It has even helped to lớn erase barriers between historically segregated communities.

This model has been replicated all over the world, especially in other Latin American countries & in cities the length of Africa. Lớn ensure sustainable cities all around the world, we must move away from our over-dependency on the automobile. Temporary interventions - lượt thích car-free days - work with existing assets và focus on shifting people’s perception, which will ultimately shape how we view and exercise sustainable urban planning in the long term.

An over to all preventable forms of suffering

—Jenniffer Maroa, clinical assistant professor, Department of Global Health, Washington University; thành viên of the Global Future Council on Biotechnology

By 2030, I envision a world free from preventable forms of suffering, especially those inflicted by infectious và non-communicable diseases. This can easily be achieved through the equitable application of new technologies such as blockchain, the internet of things and artificial intelligence (AI), which can drive the development of innovative tools khổng lồ make healthcare delivery more accessible, affordable và - importantly - more precise to all of humanity, và particularly to lớn people in low & middle-income countries (LMICs).

For example, using AI to lớn develop algorithms that take into tài khoản the influence of genetic diversity and environment on drug responses would go a long way towards increasing positive outcomes and reducing adverse drug effects. Using blockchain technology to track ‘open data’ agreements, meanwhile, will benefit individuals or communities that participate in research studies. Thus, accessibility lớn affordable & innovative precision healthcare products such as drugs, vaccines và precise prevention guidelines should significantly reduce the màn chơi of suffering caused by disease.

Unfortunately, the technologies described above that could accelerate my vision remain poorly accessible by LMICs despite their potential khổng lồ hasten development in these regions. The factors hindering their uptake are multifaceted and, in some cases, historical. We need to lớn increase awareness và knowledge around these technologies, while creating culturally relevant guidelines to lớn guide their uptake và reducing the costs of implementation. This will, in turn, promote their adoption & reduce the likelihood of any disparity that might be created by uneven access to these technologies globally.

Technology supports the challenges of our ageing populations

—Genjiro Miwa, co-founder, president and CEO, Megakaryon Corporation

Many developed countries are facing a combination of declining birth rates and increased longevity. This poses challenges to lớn many social systems that have taken a pyramid-shaped population structure - a broad section of younger people supporting a small pinnacle of the elderly - for granted.

Some of the problems, such as pensions & health insurance systems, are well recognized and may be solved by redistributing benefits và costs under political initiatives. But there are other issues that cannot be solved this way.

One example is the shortage of blood for transfusion. Tens of millions of patients receive blood transfusions worldwide every year thanks to lớn blood donors - most of whom are from younger generations. In Japan, 80% of the patients receiving blood transfusions are over the age of 60, whereas 90% of blood donors are younger than 60. By 2030, a more than 10% shortage of blood for transfusion is expected, và this gap will continue lớn worsen.

A shortage of blood is something redistribution cannot solve even with a social consensus. To lớn compensate for this expected shortfall, a project khổng lồ mass-produce platelets and other blood components from induced pluripotent stem cells (iPSC) is currently under development at my biotech start-up, Megakaryon, which I founded with the tư vấn of the Japanese Government.

There are other areas where technological innovation may offer solutions lớn the challenges presented by our ageing populations, such as robotics assisting in caring for older people. These challenges, however, are unavoidable và technological moon shots need time. The next 10 years will be critical for our preparations. We will only find out who is swimming naked when the tide goes out in 2030. Japan is set to lớn be the first country where the population tide goes out and can be considered as a showcase for the problem.

We overhaul economic policy to move beyond GDP

—Jerome Jean Haegeli, Group Chief Economist, Swiss Re; member of the Global Future Council on the New Economic Agenda

For the global economy to be successful over the next 10 years, a different mix of economic policies is needed. It is high time to act.

A public policy rethink is overdue in three major dimensions. First, less is more in terms of central bank action. Targeted fiscal stimulus và more supply-side reforms need to vị the heavy lifting now. We should remember Reagan’s supply-side economics and not just believe blindly in Keynes’ demand stimulus. Second, we need to lớn respond decisively to the inevitable economic consequences of climate change & demographics. Third, economists" toolkits need to lớn take into trương mục key societal factors. Focusing on aggregate macro variables, lượt thích GDP and the consumer price index, is not a recipe for future economic success. This is even more true against the current backdrop of an ageing & ever more unequal society, và political polarization.

We have a lot to gain if we draw the right lessons from the past decade. The current economic realities of many societies are not pretty. Public policies need to lớn take into account their distributional consequences. Living standards increase for everyone when conducive public policies allow và empower individuals và corporations lớn thrive. As such, we have an inherent self-interest in departing from the status quo. For societies to be better off in 10 years" time, the focus of our public policy needs khổng lồ change.

Quantum materials will service humanity"s problems

—Suchitra Sebastian, Associate Professor, Department of Physics, Cavendish Laboratory, University of Cambridge

"Old age" care starts when you"re young

—Yvonne Arivalagan, Global Future Council fellow (longevity)

If old age represents the accumulation of every advantage and disadvantage built up throughout a person’s life, whether economic, social, environmental or behavioural, then surely the solution lớn healthy ageing lies in a whole-life approach. However, concerns about a patient’s financial, social & emotional health often emerge too late, & well after a serious medical diagnosis. A holistic, multi-disciplinary và person-centred model of care can ensure dignity, comfort and well-being during the final phase of a patient’s life.

My vision for 2030 is that these comprehensive and wellness-oriented aspects of care are integrated much earlier in each person’s life, and become part of primary care. As the global burden of disease shifts towards non-communicable diseases, much more can be done around the world to lớn enhance the capacity of the primary care sector to care for a person’s overall welfare. This approach would include addressing socio-economic constraints and their impact on lifestyle choices (such as diet, exercise, alcohol và tobacco consumption), mental health issues such as depression, stress và loneliness, và other social or environmental barriers, all of which are proven lớn have significant repercussions for the ageing process.

As an easily accessible point of tương tác the healthcare system for millions of people, primary care providers hold the key khổng lồ shaping the ageing process for the better. Beyond preventative healthcare và screening for early disease detection & management, how can sound policies empower primary care providers to lớn offer services lượt thích lifestyle counselling or tailored care plans that promote better health proactively? It is time for policymakers and industry leaders to lớn reimagine the way societies structure, finance and deliver primary care lớn promote healthy ageing for all.

We use công nghệ to make policies based on evidence

—Jason Lange, executive director, Office of Best Practice Regulation, Department of the Prime Minister và Cabinet of australia

Legislators and regulators require strong policy development tools khổng lồ capitalize on the opportunities that come with technological advancement. These include policy redesign and fit-for-purpose regulatory & enforcement actions - all while balancing opportunities, impacts, risks và security aspects.

to maximise the benefits of science và technology, elected decision-makers need access lớn evidence-based analysis which walks them through the impact of proposed policy changes. Defining problems clearly using thorough cost-benefit analysis và studies of distributional impacts will be central lớn understanding và taking advantage of innovative technologies.

Regulators should work with affected stakeholders, industry leaders và technology partners lớn incorporate technological innovation into their decision-making processes. Involving stakeholders at the thiết kế phase will help khổng lồ both chạy thử assumptions with affected parties, và to map-out expected behavioural responses.

Finally, timely publishing of impact analyses is essential khổng lồ ensure that decision-makers can shape public policy based on early & regular feedback, & that stakeholders can be well-informed of decisions that government has taken.

A new kind of capitalism takes root

—Sonja Haut, head of strategic measurement and materiality, Novartis

In 2030, a new economy is established that addresses the needs of all stakeholders – communities, vendors, customers, employees and company owners. This new breed of new capitalism is enabled thanks khổng lồ a new way of assessing the performance of companies based on a valuation of their overall impact - a change in which policymakers và standard-setters have played a crucial role. Governments, stock markets và businesses fully embrace the new order that has given rise khổng lồ a thriving new type of public-private partnership.

This new type of public-private partnership has allowed mankind to lớn effectively address major challenges và to resolve some of them; extreme poverty belongs to the past, as bởi increasing CO2 emissions levels và the huge volumes of plastic in the ocean. There have been improvements in tackling other challenges, too; forced labour, child labour and corruption - lớn name a few - have been significantly reduced.

The new way of assessing business performance is based on standardized, comprehensive & simple impact-valuation metrics. These enhance the usual financial statements with other dimensions lượt thích society, human rights & the environment, leading khổng lồ a ‘total impact’ rating that is used by management & investors alike. Governments appreciate ‘total impact’ as key information in understanding the relevance of a sector & individual business, beyond the GDP and employment figures that were the dominant measures of wealth contribution 10 years ago. ‘Total impact’ is a simple way of assessing how much a sector or a business contributes to lớn social coherence, citizens’ wellbeing, environmental protection và the UN Sustainable Development Goals. Consumers và investors appreciate the transparency that ‘total impact’ provides for each product.

Impact valuation expresses what matters in monetary terms, allowing the full range of stakeholders to lớn agree what "good" looks lượt thích - in the economy và in society.

Cutting poverty in half with information technology

—Iván Mantilla, vice minister of connectivity in Colombia

In 2030 the diversification & sophistication of productive activities, enabled using information and communication technology (ICT), will have contributed to lớn a 50% reduction of poverty around the world.

The first decade of the 21st century showed us that the use of ICT has positive effects on the productivity of individuals, households & the economy in general. The World ngân hàng found that, for developing countries, an increase of 10% in the fixed mạng internet penetration rate was associated with an average increase of 1.38% in the GDP growth rate between 1980 & 2006.

Other studies, meanwhile, have found that when broadband is introduced, GDP per capita is between 2.7% and 3.9% higher than when it has not yet been introduced. Inspired by these international results, Colombia’s National Planning Department (DNP) found in 2018 that increasing the average tải về speed in Colombia by 1 Mbps is associated with a 2.9% increase in GDP per capita. With this purpose, progress has been made in broadening the access, use và appropriation of ICT. Public efforts to vày so were focused on the poor & other vulnerable populations, as well as on rural and remote areas.

Therefore the rapid progress made in closing the digital divide and ensuring the almost half of the world"s population who lacked access lớn the internet in 2019 were connected, was the key element in leading social and economic development up to lớn 2030. This allowed us to lớn enhance the great capacity of innovation, generation of added value & diversification of human ingenuity that - supported by technologies such as artificial intelligence - increased its efficiency và effectiveness. All this was achieved by making sure no one was left behind.

Hyper-transparency is making corruption a thing of the past

—Alison Taylor, managing director, Business for Social Responsibility

In 2030, a primary goal of business is to lớn earn và retain public trust. A narrow focus on shareholder value và regulatory compliance is widely deemed hopelessly regressive, and companies understand that they operate in a hyper-transparent environment in which everything they say or vì chưng will instantly become public knowledge. Questions of corporate purpose are no longer approached as kinh doanh exercises, so companies that cannot explain & measure how they provide value to lớn society are failing.

Corporate anti-corruption efforts are no longer formulaic attempts lớn deflect regulatory pressure, & now address all forms of abuse of entrusted power for private gain. Public disgust over global corruption has forced a reframing of the anti-corruption environment, and governments and businesses have had no choice but to meet the moment by creating meaningful beneficial ownership registries, broadening corporate due-diligence requirements to encompass human rights, and building institutional accountability.

Meanwhile, the role of accountants, lawyers, and other gatekeepers in facilitating corruption has become clear, and new ethical standards have been created. It is now considered unacceptable to avoid taxes, conduct backdoor lobbying, & operate via hidden ownership structures. The systemic impacts of corruption are far better understood. Companies see cooperating to lớn solve profound global challenges as the only way for them lớn survive và thrive over the long term.

Technology in space underpins security on earth

—Daniela Genta, Airbus Defence and Space; member of the Global Future Council on Space Technologies

By 2030, the combination of space technology và AI will have helped us giảm giá khuyến mãi with global challenges like deforestation, oil spills, farming, cross-border terrorism and migration flows, and will continue to provide insights that are meaningful at a local level for the economy.

For this lớn happen, we need lớn make sure three things happen. First, we will have to lớn apply common ethical standards lớn the way big data & AI are used. Second, we will need khổng lồ design AI systems to guarantee privacy and data protection, as well as ensuring transparency khổng lồ ensure people know when they are interacting with AI. And third, accountability must be established with internal và external independent audits, especially for AI systems whose use affects fundamental rights

If we get this right, integrated satellite & terrestrial networks will ensure secured communications that make governments and societies less prone khổng lồ destabilization.

There"s a global family of fun and functional cities

—Jan Vapaavuori, Mayor of Helsinki; member of the Global Future Council on Shaping the Future of Cities, Infrastructure và Urban Services

In year 2030 over 60% of the world’s population will live in cities, have an urban mindset & a community-based reality. Good life choices can be made based on information and data enabled systems that allow freedom of choice combined with proactive service delivery from city to people.

Climate kích hoạt required a major paradigm shift in cities and impacts the way đô thị life is organized. By combining new technology, AI and systemic change cities are able to provide a sustainable environment that leaves room for individual choice. People will adapt to the new conditions by a combination of public & private products & services that make life functional, secure and fun. Societies based on trust will flourish.

One of the most pressing global challenges is how to provide energy in a sustainable manner. Energy impacts all city life. Holistic leadership needs to lớn be paired with individual behavioral change in order to find solutions for post-carbon life.

Successful cities in year 2030 utilize scalable solutions from around the world. Urban reality will become a global family of cities that deliver the optimal combination of functionality & fun.

Precision medicine is for everyone, not just the rich

—Mavis Machirori, Research Associate at Newcastle University, United Kingdom; thành viên of the Global Future Council on Biotechnology

It would be amazing lớn think that by 2030, everyone has access khổng lồ technologies that enable them khổng lồ make better health decisions. In this future, precision medicine and personalized medicine can become part of everyone"s health options - not just the rich. Everyone is able to acknowledge & balance the limitations of biotechnologies. We know much more about humanity & diseases. Most of all, biotechnology & medicine have not intruded into people"s lives & medicalized the ‘normal’ course of life. People are still able to lớn say no khổng lồ certain interventions, because health và well-being vày not come at a cost of relinquishing rights, choice và freedoms.

How vì we get there? As we learn more about pregnancy, screening services can showroom to knowledge of one’s life course, predicting health outcomes before the child is even born. However, as pregnancy testing and screening services are currently developed with increased genetic sequencing, whether & how we can use this new knowledge will be determined by what society currently considers normal – and the application of these technologies is contested in many societies. Without balanced views, pregnancy screening can harm society, but it does not have to.

First of all, we can harness knowledge from low và middle-income countries, to integrate different perspectives. In these parts of the world we are more in tune not just with our bodies, but with our environments. We realise that life is a complex phối of inter-dependencies. Social justice & respect for others underpin all our decisions. Finally, we work respectfully and transparently in every decision we make to alleviate suffering based on local needs và not imposed needs.

We’ll get water from the moon lớn help fuel a new era in space

—Takeshi Hakamada, Founder & CEO, ispace, inc.; thành viên of the Global Future Council on Space Technologies

By 2030, humans extract the first resource in outer space - this could be water on the moon. In addition to water, which can be used to lớn drink and maintain agriculture, the water molecule (H2O) can be separated into hydrogen & oxygen, as a clean fuel source. The extraction of water on the moon will not only enable human life khổng lồ be sustained in space, but it will enable us to lớn build and maintain the necessary space infrastructure, including satellites, to lớn sustain & improve our unique of life on Earth.

By doing so, we bởi vì not need to lớn use the resources from our home planet, Earth. Further, our quality of life on will be significantly improved as a result of the innovations we achieve with a sustained human presence in deep space, as well as the extension of the Earth’s economy into space & the subsequent creation of business & jobs. However, in order for all of this khổng lồ be realized, one key piece of action that needs khổng lồ be taken today is an international consensus on the rules of engagement for governments and commercial entities khổng lồ utilize the resources which exist on our moon and in space. Proper governance of space resources is required for a sustainable & peaceful human future. If we can achieve this milestone at the political level, we can elevate our species khổng lồ a new height.

Digital tech helps lớn close the gender và wealth gap

—Nagwa El Shenawi, Undersecretary, Ministry of Communications và Information công nghệ of Egypt; member of the Global Future Council on Virtual và Augmented Reality

Digital technologies are currently shaping & transforming whole societies. Increasing access to data và digital technologies empower people. However, the digital divide still exists & it plays out along different dimensions.

By 2030, I envision an inclusive world where divisions have been reduced - especially the gender divide. For this lớn work, we need to lớn make sure three things happen. First, strengthening digital technologies skills and lifelong learning khổng lồ include everyone, notably women & low-income individuals. Second, we will need khổng lồ tackle risks like cybersecurity risks & the misuse of information. Third, we will need khổng lồ use the digital technologies such as Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning to help us addressing collective challenges lượt thích improving healthcare & curing diseases.

Buildings will respond to their environment

—Lam Khee Poh, Dean of the School of Design & Environment, National University of Singapore; member of the Global Future Council on Energy Technologies

In 2030, buildings & cities will be naturally responsive to their immediate environmental & cultural context as well as the occupants’ physiological, psychological, sociological và economic needs. An extraordinary outdoor & indoor environment quality that enhances happiness, health và well-being will be achieved with super low energy intelligent systems that is adaptive & resilient.

The construction industry that delivers these infrastructures will be highly integrated và innovative, motivated by sustainable propositions rather than short term business financial interests. It will offer a win-win-win platform (people, profit, planet or triple bottom line) for all stakeholders in government, industry, the workforce, and research & development, to lớn allow everyone lớn live in an environment that supports health.

Change our governance models to lớn harness the nguồn of giải pháp công nghệ for good

—Wafa Ben-Hassine, Consultant, Office of the High Commissioner for Human Rights, Geneva; thành viên of the Global Future Council on Human Rights & the 4IR

We must stop thinking of technology as a threat. The world has an immense opportunity to lớn leverage new technologies in a way that takes advantage of its strengths.

Reforming the way we govern & manage technology is instrumental to lớn doing the right thing in several battles we have waiting for us. Lớn make sure that artificial intelligence and machine learning vày not replicate bias. Lớn have a digital identity that does not undermine privacy. To fight the threat of terrorism without building surveillance states.

Because of this, governance of new tech needs to move beyond the state & subscribe to a more inclusive model — this certainly doesn’t mean that governance should be handed over to lớn the private sector.

It’s time for us khổng lồ reconsider our social contract: is it really the state that we should be handing over some of our rights to? How should the role of states change in a world where private companies have outsized power to shape our everyday lives? A new type of human-centered governance requires transparency and redress at every step and with every actor that poses a threat to our human rights—and our ability lớn be human. Human-centered governance means that we move away from centralized nguồn in the sovereign state model to a much more adaptive, multidirectional, và multistakeholder governance setup.

We have a new economy for nature

—Helen Crowley, Fellow and Senior Adviser, Resilient Supply Chains; thành viên of the Global Future Council on the Biodiversity kích hoạt Agenda

Our current economic mã sản phẩm is based on externalizing environmental costs – it has been built on exploiting nature, generally without concern for consequences or a recognition of limits. There is no doubt that our business models & economic growth have also led to lớn great success và positive outcomes for society in terms of increased health, education & lifting millions out of poverty. However, the data và science are now clear that the costs of this model outweigh the benefits và ‘business as usual’ is simply untenable.

Now is the moment khổng lồ change the paradigm from making the business case for protecting biodiversity khổng lồ thinking: who pays for internalizing the externalities created by ‘business as usual’?

Once we have that out in the mở cửa we can khuyến mãi with re-defining a new paradigm where business can be incentivized and rewarded for creating value for nature và society alongside profitability. We made the trò chơi up, we can change the rules lớn create an economy that protects nature by 2030.

We work together to lớn narrow the digital divide

—Qi Xiaoxia, Director-General, Bureau of International Cooperation, Cyberspace Administration of China, member of the Global Future Council on the Digital Economy và Society

The mạng internet today is growing at an incredible speed in ways that have enormously expanded people"s work và living spaces. Cyberspace has become a new homeland for human beings, a place where all countries are getting increasingly interdependent, & a community of intertwined interests & shared future.

While digital technology increases the welfare of the general public, it will also lead to lớn unequal development opportunities in different regions & different groups due to the imbalance of internet development in different countries and the lack of skills of individual citizens.

Therefore, in order khổng lồ get khổng lồ my vision for 2030 that features inclusiveness & balanced development, we need lớn work together lớn narrow the digital divide.

First, we need to speed up building global mạng internet infrastructure that is accessible khổng lồ all. Second, we need khổng lồ promote inclusive development on a truly global scale. It is important to enhance internet capacity in developing & underdeveloped countries to support the UN 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development. Third, the protection of women, children, and other vulnerable groups should be strengthened in cyberspace.

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Let us work together lớn adapt khổng lồ the trends of the information age và build a community with a shared future in cyberspace.

Findings from the network of Global Future Councils also inform the Forum’s Transformation Maps – a publicly available, free-to-use strategic intelligence và visualization tool designed khổng lồ promote understanding và solutions for the world’s greatest challenges.